AI + DECT · Opportunistic QCT
Opportunistic CT Bone Mineral Density (mg/cm³)
Turning routine CT into comprehensive bone health assessment through dual-energy physics and machine learning.
Opportunistic screening
Use existing CT exams to detect osteopenia/osteoporosis with volumetric BMD.
DECT material
Voxel-wise separation of bone, water, and fat for calibrated mg/cm³.
Clinic-ready outputs
Site-specific results, guideline categories, longitudinal comparisons.
Executive Summary
Opportunistic CT screening is a paradigm shift in osteoporosis detection, enabling bone mineral density (BMD) assessment during scans acquired for other clinical indications—no extra radiation, no extra cost, no extra appointments. Recent studies show 76–113% higher detection rates and >$2.5B potential annual savings in the U.S.
46.4%
Osteoporosis detection with QCT vs 17.1% with DXA
56%
Vertebral fractures missed by DXA
0.997
AUC for osteoporosis detection
$16,430
ICER per QALY (cost-effective)
Scientific Foundations of Opportunistic Screening
The underdiagnosis problem
Osteoporosis affects 200+ million people globally, leading to 1.66 million hip fractures annually. Despite DXA availability, about two-thirds of eligible patients are never assessed. Undiagnosed vertebral fractures cut 4-year survival from 60% to 30% in adults ≥75.
Why QCT
True volumetric measurement
vBMD in mg/cm³; 3D trabecular focus; independent of bone size.
Trabecular vs cortical
Compartment distinction; trabecular bone is more metabolically sensitive and predicts fractures better.
Fewer degenerative artefacts
Avoids DXA overestimation from osteophytes, endplate sclerosis, aortic calcification.
DECT physics
Two energy spectra enable material decomposition (bone/water/fat) with vendor-specific coefficients, phantom-anchored linearity, and contrast robustness.
Clinical Evidence & Validation
Fracture prediction
Opportunistic QCT predicts incident vertebral fractures better than DXA (AUC 0.84 vs 0.67); >56% of incident fracture patients were classified non-osteoporotic by DXA.

Parameter | Opportunistic QCT | Standard DXA | QCT Advantage |
---|---|---|---|
Osteoporosis detection rate | 46.4% | 17.1% | +171% |
AUC for fracture prediction | 0.84 | 0.67 | +25% |
Sensitivity for vertebral fractures | 89% | 44% | +102% |
Specificity | 92% | 88% | +5% |
AI integration
- Automatic vertebral segmentation (>98% accuracy)
- AI-BMD vs dedicated QCT correlation (R² = 0.991–0.998)
- Retrospective processing without human intervention
- Automated DICOM SR + PDF reports
Diagnostic thresholds
L1 trabecular attenuation norms (n=20,374):
- Normal: >120 mg/cm³ (>160 HU)
- Osteopenia: 80–120 mg/cm³ (110–160 HU)
- Osteoporosis: <80 mg/cm³ (<110 HU)
Cost-Effectiveness
Multiple studies demonstrate economic superiority of opportunistic CT screening:
Cost savings
Especially in women ≥65
$70,249/QALY
WTP threshold achieved
129
Fractures prevented per 10,000 screenings
$2.5B
Potential annual savings (U.S.)
No added operational cost
- No extra scan time
- No additional radiation
- No separate appointments
- No extra acquisition staff
- No specialized hardware beyond existing CT
Return
Markov analyses: ICER $16,430/QALY—well below WTP thresholds; dominant in high-risk groups.
Clinical Implementation & Workflow
PACS integration
- Auto-detect eligible studies
- Vertebral segmentation and BMD analysis
- Structured reporting (DICOM SR + PDF)
Recommended protocol
- Women ≥65 / Men ≥70: all thoracic/abdominal CT
- Age 50–64 with risks: prior fractures, corticosteroids, RA
- Oncology: baseline and follow-up
- Pre-surgical: spine or arthroplasty planning
Clinical action
- <80 mg/cm³: immediate osteoporosis work-up
- 80–120 mg/cm³: assess additional risk factors
- Vertebral fracture: start anti-osteoporotic therapy
- Follow-up: 12–24 months
Regulatory & privacy
- SaMD lifecycle aligned to MDR/FDA
- GDPR compliance, audit trails, RBAC
- On-prem or cloud deployment
Technology Roadmap
Asynchronous calibration
- Internal tissue references
- Vendor/protocol-specific corrections
- DECT cross-validation
- Contrast-phase adjustment
Low-dose CT
Feasible at 80 kV (lung cancer screening); correlation R²=0.991–0.998 vs 120 kV QCT.
Multi-domain
- Bone: BMD, microarchitecture, finite-element strength
- Body composition: sarcopenia, fat infiltration
- CV risk: aortic calcification, epicardial fat
Barriers & Solutions
Barrier | Proposed solution | Status |
---|---|---|
Scanner variability | Multi-vendor asynchronous calibration | Implemented in BMDNow |
Specific reimbursement | CPT codes for advanced image analysis | In progress |
Workflow integration | Full automation via PACS | Available |
Medical education | Training & certification | Expanding |
Incidental findings | Standardized referral protocols | Guidelines published |